Gold (XAUUSD)
2026-07-21
Edge Score
38
Neutral Lean Bullish
Macro6d ago
Mkt7h ago
Sizing guide
With bias
0.75x
Three quarters of your baseline. Conviction is real but not full.
Counter bias
0.50x
Half your baseline. The other side has enough merit to warrant restraint.
Edge Score breakdown
Macro signal (35%)+58.0
News sentiment (25%)+0.0
Flow (20%)+0.0
Bearing (20%)+0.0
Bars extending left are bearish contributions, right are bullish. Flow has no direction; its magnitude is shown to the right of the axis.
AI breakdown
Gold is trading with a HEALTHY flow but CHOPPY bearing and CAUTION pulse. The RSI sits at 40.88 with the EMA stack pointing down, suggesting the recent deflationary tailwind has not yet translated into sustained upside momentum. The edge remains bullish on a multi-day view given the macro backdrop, but intraday execution is difficult. A break above the recent range high would confirm follow-through. A retest of the range low would invalidate the setup and warrant stepping aside.
Conditions summary
Today is a day to manage carefully. Two of three instruments are flagged CAUTION, and no fresh catalysts have emerged to clarify direction. DXY is the only tradable setup, but it trades against the macro bias. Reduce exposure and wait for cleaner confirmation.
Five day conditions history
| Date | Flow | Bearing | Pulse |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | HEALTHY | CHOPPY | CAUTION |
| 2026-07-20 | THIN | CHOPPY | AVOID |
| 2026-07-19 | HEALTHY | CHOPPY | CAUTION |
| 2026-07-18 | HEALTHY | CHOPPY | CAUTION |
| 2026-07-17 | HEALTHY | CHOPPY | CAUTION |
Recent macro releases
- PPI6d agoActual0.20Forecast0.30Delta-0.10deflationarystrength 60